Thursday, March 17, 2011

A look at top four positions in Group B

Hello friends,

I watched today's match between England and WI all the way from start to finish, mainly because I was interested to see how today's result would affect India's standing, and also to have a look at India's next opponents.

Before I post my thoughts for the India-WI game, here is a breakdown, by scenario, of the final 4 positions in Group B.


Scenario 1 - Bangladesh beat SA

If this happens tonight, here is how the final positions will be formed after the India-WI match


Scenario 1.A - India beat WI

If this happens, the top four from Group B will be

India - 9 points (number 1)
Bangladesh - 8 points (number 2)
SA - 8 points (number 3)
England - 7 points (number 4)

WI will be eliminated.

Scenario 1.B - WI beat India

If this happens, the top four from Group B will be

WI - 8 points (number 1)
SA - 8 points (number 2)
Bangladesh - 8 points (number 3)
India - 7 points (number 4)

England will be eliminated

Scenario 2 - SA beat Bangladesh

If this happens tonight, here is how the final positions will be formed after the India-WI match

Scenario 2.A - India beat WI

If this happens, the top four from Group B will be

SA - 10 points (number 1)
India - 9 points (number 2)
England - 7 points (number 3)
WI - 6 points (number 4)

Bangladesh will be eliminated


Scenario 2.B - WI beat India

If this happens, the top four from Group B will be

SA - 10 points (number 1)
WI - 8 points (number 2)
India - 7 points (number 3)
England - 7 points (number 4)

Bangladesh will be eliminated

I am not accounting for tied games or rained-out games in either of the 2 matches where both teams will get 1 point each. Also, I am assuming that the wins will not be by huge margin. I am assuming the wins to be by around 20-70 runs or with 3-4 overs to spare, such that there will not be a big difference in net run rate.

Hope this helps to get an idea regarding India's potential QF opponents. Watch for my next post in a few minutes which will be a preview of the India-WI match.

Cheers.

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